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Original Scientific Paper

MILITARY EXPENDITURE, POLITICAL STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE WESTERN BALKAN COUNTRIES

Saša Obradović

University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, Republic of Serbia

The Western Balkan countries have invested considerable resources in order to achieve peace, establish political stability and sustain economic growth. This study aims to empirically assess the impact of military expenditure on economic growth in a panel of five Western Balkan countries from 2001 to 2022. The research uses a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL-PMG) model to estimate the short-run and long-run relationships between the variables of interest. In addition, the fully modified least squares method is applied to ensure the reliability of the findings. A positive relationship was identified between military spending, and economic growth. The results strongly indicate that military expenditure is beneficial for economic growth. The empirical findings of the study provide support for the view that policymakers should increase investment in the military defense sector so as to contribute to economic growth.

Keywords: 

military expenditure, economic growth, panel, Western Balkans, ARDL-PMG

JEL Classification: 

C50, H56,011
doi:10.5937/ekonhor2602103O
Economic Horizons, 2026, 28 (2). Published online August 25th 2026

Since October 2020, the Journal is referenced in SCOPUS

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Since March 2015, the Journal is indexed in DOAJ

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Since November 2013, the Journal is indexed in ProQuest – ABI/INFORM

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Since October 2013, the Journal is indexed in Cabell’s Directories

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Since September 2013, the Journal is indexed in Index Copernicus Journals Master List 2012

Index Copernicus Journals Master List
ICV 2020 = 90.77

Since March 2013, the Journal has been evaluаted and accepted for listing in EconLit (American Economic Association Publications)

EconLit

Since January 2013, the Journal has been included into EBSCO’s databases

EBSCO

Since November 2012, the Journal has been included into Ulrich’s Periodicals Directory 

Ulrich’s Web

Since October 2020, the Journal is referenced in SCOPUS

SCImago Journal & Country Rank

Since March 2015, the Journal is indexed in DOAJ

DOAJ

Since November 2013, the Journal is indexed in ProQuest – ABI/INFORM

ProQuest – ABI/INFORM

Since October 2013, the Journal is indexed in Cabell’s Directories

Cabell’s Directories

Since September 2013, the Journal is indexed in Index Copernicus Journals Master List 2012

Index Copernicus Journals Master List
ICV 2020 = 90.77

Since March 2013, the Journal has been evaluаted and accepted for listing in EconLit (American Economic Association Publications)

EconLit

Since January 2013, the Journal has been included into EBSCO’s databases

EBSCO

Since November 2012, the Journal has been included into Ulrich’s Periodicals Directory 

Ulrich’s Web